Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 3
Atalanta

Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Atalanta BC
15.91%	20.01%	64.07%

Both teams to score 53.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77%

41.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.38%

63.62%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.09%

38.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.36%

75.64%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.82%

12.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.17%

37.82%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 15.91%

Atalanta BC 64.07%

Draw 20.01%

Fiorentina	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 4.47% 2-1 @ 4.45% 2-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.91%	1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 4.74% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.01%	0-2 @ 10.5% 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 6.96% 0-4 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.28% 2-4 @ 1.73% 0-5 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.61% Total : 64.07%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina

8.3%

Draw

11.1%

Atalanta BC

80.6%