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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Milan logo

Fiorentina
2 - 3
AC Milan

Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
28.54%23.69%47.77%
Both teams to score 59.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59%42.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19%64.81%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14%27.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53%63.47%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06%17.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24%48.76%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 28.54%
    AC Milan 47.77%
    Draw 23.68%
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 7.01%
1-0 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 4.08%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.54%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 5.4%
0-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.32%
0-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.77%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Fiorentina
17.6%
Draw
23.5%
AC Milan
58.8%
51
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Pulgar (85' pen.)
Caceres (76')
Henrique (62')
Rebic (56')
Bennacer (12'), Calhanoglu (25'), Hernandez (85')
Sep 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
AC Milan
1-3
Fiorentina
Leao (80')
Bennacer (13'), Calabria (86')
Musacchio (55')
Pulgar (14' pen.), Castrovilli (66'), Ribery (78')
Milenkovic (35'), Pezzella (49'), Lirola (86'), Benassi (87')
May 11, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
0-1
AC Milan

Biraghi (34'), Laurini (67')
Dec 22, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 17
AC Milan
0-1
Fiorentina

Suso (77'), Romagnoli (78'), Laxalt (90')
Chiesa (73')
Pezzella (32'), Hugo (42'), Fernandes (62'), Chiesa (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus32189545242163
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
7Napoli321310950401049
8Lazio32154134135649
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa32912113539-439
13Lecce32711142748-2132
14CagliariCagliari32710153454-2031
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona32610163044-1428
16Udinese31416113047-1728
17Empoli3277182548-2328
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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