Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
28.54% | 23.69% | 47.77% |
Both teams to score 59.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.59% | 42.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.19% | 64.81% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% | 27.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% | 63.47% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% | 17.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.24% | 48.76% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 7.01% 1-0 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.54% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-1 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 5.4% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
7 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Lazio | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |