Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16

Mar 11, 2021 at 5.55pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
1 - 1
AC Milan

Diallo (50')
McTominay (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kjaer (90+2')
Saelemaekers (19')

Reaction

Manchester United's Harry Maguire misses an open goal against AC Milan in the Europa League on March 11, 2021

Harry Maguire "not making excuses" for horror miss against Milan

Harry Maguire admitted afterwards: "I'm not making excuses for that one - I should score."

Mar 12, 08:34

Manchester United manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer pictured on March 7, 2021

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer "disappointed" by late AC Milan leveller

Amad Diallo's first goal for the club had put United ahead.

Mar 11, 21:40

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	AC Milan
43.65%	25.62%	30.73%

Both teams to score 54.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21%

49.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.21%

71.79%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27%

22.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.6%

56.4%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91%

30.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78%

66.22%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 43.65%

AC Milan 30.73%

Draw 25.61%

Manchester United	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.65%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.73%