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Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Siro
Red Star Belgrade

AC Milan
1 - 1
Red Star

Kessie (9' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fardou Ben (24')
Gobeljic (8'), Srnic (45')
Gobeljic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AC Milan and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawRed Star Belgrade
54.1%25.26%20.63%
Both teams to score 46.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21%55.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08%76.91%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37%20.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.81%53.19%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.98%42.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55%78.44%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 54.09%
    Red Star Belgrade 20.63%
    Draw 25.26%
AC MilanDrawRed Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 13.67%
2-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 4.93%
4-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.09%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 8.67%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 5.14%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.17%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 20.63%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Red Star

AC Milan
84.0%
Draw
8.0%
Red Star Belgrade
8.0%
163
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2021 5.55pm
Round of 32
Red Star
2-2
AC Milan
Kanga (52' pen.), Pavkov (90+3')
Milunovic (54'), Rodic (57')
Rodic (77')
Pankov (42' og.), Hernandez (61' pen.)
Romagnoli (51'), Mandzukic (71'), Donnarumma (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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