Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | AC Milan |
| 17.79% | 20.13% | 62.08% |
| Both teams to score 57.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.73% | 38.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.45% | 60.55% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% | 34.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.37% | 71.63% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.16% | 11.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.9% | 37.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 4.89% 1-0 @ 4.35% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.79% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 5.21% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.13% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 7.04% 0-3 @ 6.69% 1-4 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.71% 0-4 @ 3.57% 2-4 @ 1.98% 1-5 @ 1.6% 0-5 @ 1.52% Other @ 4.09% Total : 62.09% |