Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 14, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
0 - 1
Napoli

Hernandez (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Politano (49')
Maksimovic (26'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Gennaro Gattuso (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Napoli
40.24%	24.1%	35.66%

Both teams to score 60.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.49%

41.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.09%

63.91%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21%

20.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.55%

53.45%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91%

23.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.07%

56.93%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 40.24%

Napoli 35.66%

Draw 24.1%

AC Milan	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.24%	1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 8.1% 0-1 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.66%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli

AC Milan

68.5%

Draw

15.5%

Napoli

16.0%