Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16

Mar 18, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
0 - 1
Man Utd

Kalulu (65'), Dalot (77'), Kjaer (85'), Hernandez (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pogba (49')
Shaw (90+3')

Reaction

Manchester United manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer pictured on March 18, 2021

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer delighted to pass San Siro test

Paul Pogba secured a 1-0 win at San Siro and 2-1 aggregate triumph.

Mar 18, 23:58

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester United in this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Manchester United
20.67%	25.91%	53.42%

Both teams to score 44.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.99%

58.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.3%

78.69%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.74%

43.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.49%

79.51%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18%

21.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.97%

55.03%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 20.67%

Manchester United 53.4%

Draw 25.91%

AC Milan	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 7.91% 2-1 @ 5.04% 2-0 @ 3.31% 3-1 @ 1.41% 3-2 @ 1.07% 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1% Total : 20.67%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 14.36% 0-2 @ 10.93% 1-2 @ 9.17% 0-3 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-4 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.91% Total : 53.4%