Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Parma had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Parma |
49.81% | 25% | 25.18% |
Both teams to score 52.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.44% | 50.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.52% | 72.48% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% | 20.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.31% | 52.69% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.26% | 34.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.53% | 71.47% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |