Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 26.07% | 25.71% | 48.22% |
| Both teams to score 50.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.66% | 74.34% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% | 35.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.1% | 71.9% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% | 21.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% | 55.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 8.04% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.2% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.07% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 4.71% 0-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.22% |