Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 43.69% | 24.26% | 32.04% |
| Both teams to score 59.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.74% | 43.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.34% | 65.65% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% | 19.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.87% | 52.13% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% | 25.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.98% | 61.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3% Total : 43.69% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-1 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.04% |