Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Empoli |
| 31.02% | 24.93% | 44.05% |
| Both teams to score 56.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% | 46.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% | 68.95% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% | 28.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% | 64.06% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% | 21.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% | 54.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.02% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 4.71% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.05% |