Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
