Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
0 - 1
Genoa

Carboni (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Shomurodov (15')
Behrami (51'), Melegoni (64'), Strootman (90+4')
Behrami (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Genoa
43.62%	25.46%	30.92%

Both teams to score 54.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.97%

49.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.89%

71.11%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58%

22.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05%

55.94%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43%

29.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4%

65.6%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 43.62%

Genoa 30.92%

Draw 25.45%

Cagliari	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.62%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 8.08% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.92%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Genoa

Cagliari

76.7%

Draw

9.3%

Genoa

14.0%