Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 19, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 2
Cagliari

Immobile (45'), Cataldi (83')
Felipe (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedro (46'), Balde (62')
Caceres (6'), Zappa (61'), Mazzarri (83')
Zappa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 69.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Cagliari
69.28%	18.35%	12.38%

Both teams to score 49.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.48%

41.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.08%

63.92%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.13%

10.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65%

34.99%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.82%

44.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.73%

80.27%

Score Analysis

Lazio 69.26%

Cagliari 12.38%

Draw 18.35%

Lazio	Draw	Cagliari
2-0 @ 11.82% 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 7.15% 4-0 @ 4.85% 4-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.92% 5-0 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.97% Total : 69.26%	1-1 @ 8.71% 0-0 @ 4.8% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.89% Total : 18.35%	0-1 @ 3.92% 1-2 @ 3.56% 0-2 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.25% Total : 12.38%

How you voted: Lazio vs Cagliari

Lazio

90.5%

Draw

4.8%

Cagliari