Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Genoa |
| 48.6% | 24.23% | 27.17% |
| Both teams to score 56.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.2% | 45.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.88% | 68.11% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% | 18.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.57% | 50.43% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% | 30.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% | 66.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.6% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 3% Total : 27.17% |