Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 11.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
| 72.03% | 16.61% | 11.35% |
| Both teams to score 52.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.03% | 35.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.93% | 58.06% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.25% | 8.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.94% | 30.05% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.77% | 42.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.37% | 78.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 9% 3-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 7.68% 4-0 @ 5.43% 4-1 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 3.31% 5-0 @ 2.65% 5-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 2.02% 6-0 @ 1.07% 5-2 @ 0.98% 6-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.69% Total : 72.03% | 1-1 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.08% 0-0 @ 3.69% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.61% | 1-2 @ 3.34% 0-1 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.17% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.35% |