Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

May 2, 2021 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
4 - 3
Genoa

Correa (30', 56'), Immobile (43' pen.), Alberto (48')
Leiva (45'), Cataldi (79'), Fares (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Marusic (47' og.), Scamacca (80' pen.), Shomurodov (81')
Biraschi (32'), Radovanovic (43'), Masiello (70'), Cassata (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Genoa
66.78%	19.26%	13.96%

Both teams to score 51.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.1%

41.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.7%

64.3%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.36%

11.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.33%

36.67%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.02%

41.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.58%

78.42%

Score Analysis

Lazio 66.77%

Genoa 13.96%

Draw 19.26%

Lazio	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 11.3% 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-0 @ 4.36% 4-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.05% 5-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.69% Total : 66.77%	1-1 @ 9.12% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.26%	0-1 @ 4.24% 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.96%