Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 18, 2021 at 11.30am UK

San Siro

AC Milan
2 - 1
Genoa

Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Genoa
68.16%	18.79%	13.06%

Both teams to score 50.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.14%

41.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.74%

64.26%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.74%

11.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.15%

35.85%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69%

43.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45%

79.55%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 68.15%

Genoa 13.06%

Draw 18.79%

AC Milan	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 11.63% 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.09% 4-0 @ 4.62% 4-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.97% 5-0 @ 2.02% 5-1 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.8% Total : 68.15%	1-1 @ 8.91% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.93% Total : 18.79%	0-1 @ 4.08% 1-2 @ 3.73% 0-2 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.37% Total : 13.06%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan

87.5%

Draw

11.3%

Genoa

1.3%