Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
68.16% | 18.79% | 13.06% |
Both teams to score 50.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.14% | 41.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.74% | 64.26% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.74% | 11.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.15% | 35.85% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.69% | 43.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.45% | 79.55% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 11.63% 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.09% 4-0 @ 4.62% 4-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.97% 5-0 @ 2.02% 5-1 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.8% Total : 68.15% | 1-1 @ 8.91% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.93% Total : 18.79% | 0-1 @ 4.08% 1-2 @ 3.73% 0-2 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.37% Total : 13.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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