Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
5 - 2
Lazio

Insigne (7' pen., 53'), Politano (12'), Mertens (65'), Osimhen (80')
Manolas (15'), Fabian (42'), Mertens (45+1'), Di Lorenzo (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Immobile (70'), Milinkovic-Savic (74')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Leiva (30'), Immobile (48'), Pereira (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Lazio
49.57%	23.6%	26.82%

Both teams to score 58.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.73%

43.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.34%

65.66%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43%

17.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.87%

48.13%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.45%

29.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.43%

65.57%

Score Analysis

Napoli 49.57%

Lazio 26.82%

Draw 23.6%

Napoli	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.79% Total : 49.57%	1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 6.71% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.26% Total : 26.82%