Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
49.57% | 23.6% | 26.82% |
Both teams to score 58.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.73% | 43.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.34% | 65.66% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.43% | 17.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.87% | 48.13% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.45% | 29.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.43% | 65.57% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.79% Total : 49.57% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.26% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |