Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
