Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Benevento |
| 36.92% | 26.64% | 36.44% |
| Both teams to score 52.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.13% | 52.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.51% | 74.48% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% | 27.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.77% | 63.23% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% | 27.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.41% | 63.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.9% Total : 36.92% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 6.28% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.44% |