Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Benevento win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benevento | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 27.18% | 23.26% | 49.56% |
| Both teams to score 59.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% | 41.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% | 63.81% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% | 28.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.96% | 64.04% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% | 16.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.09% | 46.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benevento | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 6.77% 1-0 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.6% Total : 27.18% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-1 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.56% 1-3 @ 5.66% 0-3 @ 4.49% 2-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 2.52% 0-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.13% Total : 49.56% |