Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 37.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 37.96% | 24.34% | 37.69% |
| Both teams to score 60.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% | 42.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% | 64.93% |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% | 22.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% | 55.83% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% | 22.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% | 56.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.96% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.69% |