Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Mar 3, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Sassuolo
3 - 3
Napoli

Maksimovic (34' og.), Berardi (45+1' pen.), Caputo (90+5' pen.)
Duricic (30'), Santos (79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Zielinski (38'), Di Lorenzo (72'), Insigne (89' pen.)
Demme (69'), Ghoulam (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Napoli
32.2%	22.71%	45.09%

Both teams to score 64.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.27%

35.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.2%

57.8%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72%

22.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27%

55.73%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62%

16.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.98%

46.02%

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 32.2%

Napoli 45.09%

Draw 22.71%

Sassuolo	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 7.44% 1-0 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 4.12% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.34% Total : 32.2%	1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 6.73% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 5.41% 2-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.45% 2-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.63% 3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.65% Total : 45.09%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Napoli

Sassuolo

24.5%

Draw

20.9%

Napoli

54.6%