Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Mar 6, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
1 - 1
Benevento

Verde (71')
Bastoni (25'), Erlic (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gaich (24')
Improta (44'), Barba (72'), Sau (79'), Dabo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Benevento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Benevento
40.25%	27.01%	32.74%

Both teams to score 50.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.18%

54.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.88%

76.12%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.29%

26.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.03%

61.97%

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73%

31.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39%

67.61%

Score Analysis

Spezia 40.25%

Benevento 32.74%

Draw 27%

Spezia	Draw	Benevento
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.25%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Spezia vs Benevento

Spezia

77.8%

Draw

19.4%

Benevento

2.8%