Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benevento | Draw | Parma |
| 33.42% | 26.14% | 40.44% |
| Both teams to score 53.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% | 51.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% | 72.98% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% | 28.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% | 64.86% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% | 24.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% | 59.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benevento | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.44% |