Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Genoa |
| 42.61% | 27.8% | 29.59% |
| Both teams to score 46.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.33% | 58.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.78% | 79.21% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% | 27.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% | 62.65% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% | 35.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.69% | 72.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.89% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.04% Total : 29.58% |