Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Benevento win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Benevento |
66.51% | 19.4% | 14.08% |
Both teams to score 51.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.7% | 42.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.3% | 64.71% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.17% | 11.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.93% | 37.07% |
Benevento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.94% | 42.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.52% | 78.48% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Benevento |
2-0 @ 11.33% 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 6.99% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 3.03% 5-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.58% Total : 66.5% | 1-1 @ 9.2% 0-0 @ 4.97% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.41% | 0-1 @ 4.31% 1-2 @ 3.98% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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