Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Udinese |
| 33.49% | 25.8% | 40.71% |
| Both teams to score 54.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.32% | 49.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% | 71.69% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% | 28.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% | 63.92% |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% | 24.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% | 58.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Udinese |
| 1-0 @ 8.61% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.49% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 4.13% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.71% |