Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 31.43% | 25.02% | 43.55% |
| Both teams to score 56.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.07% | 46.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.82% | 69.18% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% | 28.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.12% | 63.88% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% | 21.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.36% | 54.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.7% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.43% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.48% Total : 43.55% |