Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Roma |
| 26.25% | 23.46% | 50.29% |
| Both teams to score 58.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% | 43.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% | 65.46% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% | 29.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% | 65.96% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% | 17.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.48% | 47.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% 1-0 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.16% Total : 26.25% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-3 @ 4.67% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.48% 0-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.93% Total : 50.29% |