Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 20, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
2 - 1
Cagliari

Piccoli (49'), Maggiore (80')
Farias (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereiro (83')
Nainggolan (43'), Pedro (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Cagliari
44.17%	26.07%	29.76%

Both teams to score 52.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.93%

52.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2%

73.8%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53%

23.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.52%

57.48%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05%

31.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6%

68.4%

Score Analysis

Spezia 44.17%

Cagliari 29.76%

Draw 26.07%

Spezia	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.17%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.76%

How you voted: Spezia vs Cagliari

Spezia

53.2%

Draw

37.1%

Cagliari

9.7%