Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Cagliari |
| 39.28% | 26.37% | 34.34% |
| Both teams to score 52.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.06% | 51.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.32% | 73.68% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% | 60.89% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% | 28.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.37% | 64.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.28% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.28% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.34% |