Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 27, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
2 - 2
Parma

Gyasi (52', 72')
Ricci (21'), N'Zola (88'), Acampora (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Karamoh (17'), Hernani (25')
Brunetta (9'), Hernani (50'), Kurtic (84'), Gagliolo (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Parma had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Parma
48.09%	24.94%	26.97%

Both teams to score 53.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.02%

48.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.93%

71.07%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6%

20.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.17%

52.83%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57%

32.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05%

68.96%

Score Analysis

Spezia 48.08%

Parma 26.97%

Draw 24.94%

Spezia	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.08%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.97%