Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 35.26% | 25.17% | 39.56% |
| Both teams to score 56.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% | 46.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.14% | 68.85% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% | 25.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% | 60.57% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% | 23.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.71% | 57.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 8.71% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.56% |