Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
| 28.93% | 24.62% | 46.44% |
| Both teams to score 56.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% | 46.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% | 68.66% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% | 29.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% | 65.65% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% | 20.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.73% | 52.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 7.23% 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.93% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 5% 0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.44% |