Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 17, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Sassuolo
3 - 1
Fiorentina

Berardi (59' pen., 62' pen.), Lopez (75')
Traore (13'), Lopez (45+1'), Muldur (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bonaventura (31')
Castrovilli (15'), Milenkovic (28'), Biraghi (68'), Eysseric (81'), Pulgar (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Fiorentina
44.21%	23.92%	31.88%

Both teams to score 60.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.29%

41.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.89%

64.11%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.88%

19.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.26%

50.74%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65%

25.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.86%

60.14%

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 44.21%

Fiorentina 31.88%

Draw 23.92%

Sassuolo	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.31% Total : 44.21%	1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 7.55% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.88%