Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
44.21% | 23.92% | 31.88% |
Both teams to score 60.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% | 41.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.89% | 64.11% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.88% | 19.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.26% | 50.74% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.65% | 25.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.86% | 60.14% |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.31% Total : 44.21% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |