Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
69.84% | 17.28% | 12.88% |
Both teams to score 55.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.95% | 35.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.95% | 57.05% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91% | 9.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.31% | 30.69% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.85% | 39.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.14% | 75.86% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.49% 3-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 7.69% 4-0 @ 4.94% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.61% 5-0 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-2 @ 1.05% 6-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.72% Total : 69.83% | 1-1 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.49% 0-0 @ 3.53% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.28% | 1-2 @ 3.73% 0-1 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.72% Total : 12.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |