Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 0-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Napoli |
| 19.26% | 20.5% | 60.24% |
| Both teams to score 58.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.44% | 37.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.21% | 59.79% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% | 32.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.51% | 69.49% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% | 12.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.28% | 37.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 5.2% 1-0 @ 4.44% 2-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.26% | 1-1 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 3.99% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 8.42% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-3 @ 6.25% 2-3 @ 3.86% 1-4 @ 3.66% 0-4 @ 3.29% 2-4 @ 2.03% 1-5 @ 1.55% 0-5 @ 1.39% Other @ 4.1% Total : 60.24% |