Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
| 32.53% | 27.23% | 40.24% |
| Both teams to score 49.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% | 55.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% | 76.87% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% | 31.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.69% | 68.31% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% | 27.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% | 62.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.53% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.23% |