Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Salernitana |
| 53.59% | 24.07% | 22.34% |
| Both teams to score 51.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% | 49.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% | 71.42% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% | 18.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.53% | 49.47% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% | 36.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% | 73.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 9.67% 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-0 @ 5.46% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.58% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.75% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.39% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.77% Total : 22.34% |