Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 33.15% | 26.89% | 39.96% |
| Both teams to score 50.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.73% | 54.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% | 75.66% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% | 30.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% | 66.96% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.39% | 26.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.16% | 61.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.15% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.95% |