Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Salernitana |
32.64% | 26.79% | 40.57% |
Both teams to score 51.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.02% | 53.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.57% | 75.42% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% | 30.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% | 67.19% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% | 26.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% | 61.22% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.64% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |