Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 16, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
2 - 1
Salernitana

Strelec (51'), Kovalenko (76')
Gyasi (62'), Manaj (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Simy (39')
Obi (53'), Coulibaly (60'), Ranieri (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Salernitana
32.64%	26.79%	40.57%

Both teams to score 51.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.02%

53.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.57%

75.42%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09%

30.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8%

67.19%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85%

26.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77%

61.22%

Score Analysis

Spezia 32.64%

Salernitana 40.56%

Draw 26.78%

Spezia	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.64%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.56%

How you voted: Spezia vs Salernitana

Spezia

60.3%

Draw

30.2%

Salernitana

9.5%