Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Genoa |
45.61% | 23.96% | 30.43% |
Both teams to score 59.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.42% | 42.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.01% | 64.99% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.12% | 18.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.65% | 50.35% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% | 26.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% | 61.94% |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Genoa |
2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.36% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-1 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |