Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Genoa |
| 45.61% | 23.96% | 30.43% |
| Both teams to score 59.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.42% | 42.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.01% | 64.99% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% | 18.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.65% | 50.35% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% | 26.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% | 61.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.36% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-1 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.43% |