Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 26.83% | 25.02% | 48.15% |
| Both teams to score 53.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% | 49.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% | 71.44% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.24% | 32.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.68% | 69.32% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% | 20.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.94% | 53.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.19% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.83% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 8.43% 1-3 @ 4.96% 0-3 @ 4.45% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.15% |