Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Genoa |
| 46.72% | 26.47% | 26.8% |
| Both teams to score 48.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.82% | 55.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.58% | 76.42% |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% | 23.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% | 57.68% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% | 35.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% | 72.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.72% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.95% Total : 26.8% |