Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 18, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Criscito (90+8' pen.)
Toure (13'), Criscito (15'), Vanheusden (20'), Behrami (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Saponara (60'), Bonaventura (89')
Odriozola (36'), Biraghi (45+3'), Martinez (54'), Kokorin (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Fiorentina
33.39%	26.39%	40.23%

Both teams to score 52.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.83%

52.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.12%

73.88%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5%

29.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48%

65.52%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5%

25.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.65%

60.35%

Score Analysis

Genoa 33.39%

Fiorentina 40.23%

Draw 26.39%

Genoa	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.39%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.52% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.23%

How you voted: Genoa vs Fiorentina

Genoa

21.4%

Draw

26.2%

Fiorentina

52.4%