Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Bologna |
| 45.85% | 25.48% | 28.66% |
| Both teams to score 53.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% | 50.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% | 72.17% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% | 21.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% | 55.14% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% | 31.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% | 68.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.97% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.66% |