Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
3 - 0
Bologna

Fabian (18'), Insigne (41' pen., 62' pen.)
Zambo Anguissa (32')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Medel (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 11.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Bologna
70.78%	17.24%	11.98%

Both teams to score 52.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.69%

37.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.48%

59.52%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.63%

9.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.44%

31.56%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.92%

42.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.5%

78.5%

Score Analysis

Napoli 70.78%

Bologna 11.98%

Draw 17.24%

Napoli	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 7.55% 4-0 @ 5.16% 4-1 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.27% 5-0 @ 2.45% 5-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.94% 6-0 @ 0.97% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.27% Total : 70.78%	1-1 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.14% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.24%	1-2 @ 3.5% 0-1 @ 3.41% 0-2 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.98%

How you voted: Napoli vs Bologna

Napoli

88.9%

Draw

6.5%

Bologna

4.5%