Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 30, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Napoli)

Napoli
2 - 3
Spartak Moscow

Elmas (1'), Osimhen (90+4')
Di Lorenzo (45+8'), Koulibaly (65'), Fabian (78'), Manolas (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Promes (55', 90'), Ignatov (80')
Ponce (43'), Litvinov (45+1'), Sobolev (45+8'), Caufriez (65'), Lucas (77'), Vitoria (86'), Maximenko (89'), Umyarov (90+10')
Caufriez (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Napoli and Spartak Moscow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Spartak Moscow
55.89%	21.99%	22.13%

Both teams to score 58.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.48%

40.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.1%

62.9%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.61%

14.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.71%

42.29%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.11%

31.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.66%

68.34%

Score Analysis

Napoli 55.89%

Spartak Moscow 22.13%

Draw 21.98%

Napoli	Draw	Spartak Moscow
2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.89%	1-1 @ 10.16% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 5.81% 0-1 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.58% Total : 22.13%