Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Napoli)
Napoli2 - 3Spartak Moscow
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 55.89% | 21.99% | 22.13% |
| Both teams to score 58.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
