Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 15, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
0 - 1
Legia

Gigot (48'), Umyarov (53'), Lomovitski (90'), Bakaev (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kastrati (90+1')
Wieteska (50'), Johansson (55'), Jedrzejczyk (70'), Pesqueira (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Spartak Moscow and Legia Warsaw, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Legia Warsaw
31.94%	24.85%	43.21%

Both teams to score 57.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03%

45.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72%

68.28%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61%

27.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15%

62.85%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.69%

21.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.74%

54.26%

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 31.94%

Legia Warsaw 43.21%

Draw 24.84%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 7.57% 1-0 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.94%	1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.84%	1-2 @ 9.03% 0-1 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.21%