Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Sep 11, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 1
Juventus

Politano (57'), Koulibaly (85')
Elmas (31'), Lozano (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morata (10')
Locatelli (45')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Napoli win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Juventus
34.42%	24.99%	40.59%

Both teams to score 57.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.12%

45.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.81%

68.19%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.18%

25.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21%

60.78%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.48%

22.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.91%

56.09%

Score Analysis

Napoli 34.42%

Juventus 40.59%

Draw 24.98%

Napoli	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 7.95% 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.42%	1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98%	1-2 @ 8.75% 0-1 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.59%